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CHOICEONE FINANCIAL SERVICES (COFS)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

ChoiceOne Financial Beats Q4 Estimates as Fentura Integration Powers 94% Earnings Growth

January 30, 2026 · by Fintool AI Agent

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ChoiceOne Financial Services (NASDAQ: COFS) delivered a strong Q4 2025, reporting diluted EPS of $0.92 that beat consensus estimates of $0.86 by 12.8% . Net income nearly doubled year-over-year to $13.9M from $7.2M in Q4 2024, as the Michigan-based regional bank completed its integration of Fentura Financial with no material merger expenses remaining .

The quarter marks a clean inflection point for ChoiceOne. After absorbing $13.9M in merger-related expenses (net of taxes) through the first three quarters of 2025, the bank delivered a quarter with zero merger costs while demonstrating strong organic growth .

Did ChoiceOne Beat Earnings?

Yes — ChoiceOne beat on both EPS and revenue.

MetricActualConsensusSurprise
EPS (Normalized)$0.97*$0.86*+12.8%
EPS (GAAP Diluted)$0.92 $0.86*+7.0%
Net Interest Income$36.8M
Net Income$13.9M +94% YoY

*Values retrieved from S&P Global

The beat was driven by stronger-than-expected net interest income, which rose 90% YoY to $36.8M, and continued organic loan growth despite the integration workload .

Beat/Miss History (Last 8 Quarters):

QuarterEPS ActualEPS Est.Beat/Miss
Q4 2025$0.97*$0.86*✓ Beat +12.8%
Q3 2025$0.91*$0.78*✓ Beat +16.2%
Q2 2025$0.86*$0.76*✓ Beat +13.9%
Q1 2025$0.83*$0.84*✗ Miss -1.2%
Q4 2024$0.93*$0.74*✓ Beat +25.7%
Q3 2024$0.87*$0.76*✓ Beat +14.5%
Q2 2024$0.74*$0.59*✓ Beat +25.4%
Q1 2024$0.70*$0.64*✓ Beat +9.4%

*Values retrieved from S&P Global

ChoiceOne has beaten EPS estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters. The only miss (Q1 2025) coincided with the Fentura merger close and associated one-time provisions.

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What Changed From Last Quarter?

The merger noise is over. Q4 2025 represents the first clean quarter since the Fentura merger closed on March 1, 2025 .

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Change
Net Income$13.9M $14.7M -5.5%
Diluted EPS$0.92 $0.97 -$0.05
Net Interest Margin (FTE)3.63% 3.77% -14 bps
Efficiency Ratio54.1% 54.8% -70 bps
Core Loan Growth (Ann.)+7.6% New disclosure

Key sequential changes:

  1. NIM compression: Net interest margin declined 14 bps to 3.63% due to rate reductions on PRIME-linked loans and lower accretion income from purchased loans ($3.1M vs $3.6M in Q3)

  2. Asset quality uptick: Nonperforming loans rose to 0.98% from 0.69%, but management emphasized 0.63% is attributable to pre-identified PCD loans from the acquisition — not new deterioration

  3. Expense discipline: Noninterest expense declined $866K sequentially as merger-related costs fully rolled off

How Did the Stock React?

COFS +3.7% to $29.56 on the earnings release .

The stock has traded in a $24.89–$35.40 range over the past year. Today's close is just below the 50-day moving average of $29.91 and roughly in line with the 200-day average of $29.33.

Post-Merger Stock Performance:

  • March 1, 2025 (merger close): ~$31.50
  • Today: $29.56
  • Performance since merger: -6.2%

The stock underperformed through Q1-Q2 2025 as investors waited for merger integration costs to clear. Today's reaction suggests confidence that the clean-quarter thesis is now playing out.

What Did Management Guide?

Management did not provide explicit EPS or revenue guidance but offered several forward-looking comments:

Positive signals:

  • No material merger expenses expected going forward
  • New Troy, MI branch planned for later in 2026 to drive growth in an attractive market
  • $8M in estimated accretion income for 2026 from purchased loan marks, using effective interest method
  • AI and automation investments underway to improve operational efficiency

Cautions:

  • NIM pressure may persist: "With ChoiceOne's already low cost of deposits and market conditions, further reductions in federal funds rates may not immediately offset with savings"
  • Interest rate swap exit: In January 2026, ChoiceOne exited $201M of pay-fixed swaps (3.4% coupon), leaving ~$180M at 2.88% weighted average coupon

CEO Kelly Potes: "As we move into 2026, we do so with strong organic growth momentum across our markets and a renewed focus on strengthening our customer relationships."

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Key Metrics Deep Dive

Balance Sheet Scale-Up

The Fentura merger transformed ChoiceOne's balance sheet:

MetricQ4 2025Q4 2024YoY Change
Total Assets$4.41B $2.72B +62%
Core Loans$2.96B $1.51B +97%
Total Deposits$3.60B $2.21B +63%
Shareholders' Equity$465M $260M +79%

The merger added ~$1.8B in assets, $1.4B in loans, and $1.4B in deposits .

Profitability Metrics

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q4 2024
ROA (Ann.)1.27% 1.36% 1.05%
ROE (Ann.)12.07% 13.39% 11.24%
ROTCE (Ann.)16.66% 19.08% 14.54%
Efficiency Ratio54.12% 54.76% 61.29%

The efficiency ratio improvement from 61.3% to 54.1% reflects merger synergies taking hold.

Asset Quality

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q4 2024
NPLs / Total Loans0.98% 0.69% 0.27%
Net Charge-offs (Ann.)0.04% 0.03% 0.04%
ACL / Total Loans1.18% 1.19% 1.07%

Management emphasized that 0.63% of the 0.98% NPL ratio is attributable to purchased credit-deteriorated (PCD) loans that were identified before the merger — not emerging credit weakness .

Capital Position

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q4 2024Well-Cap Threshold
CET1 Ratio10.2% 10.3% 12.0% 6.5%
Total RBC Ratio12.7% 13.0% 14.5% 10.0%
TCE / TA7.16% 7.04% 7.49%

Capital ratios declined YoY due to balance sheet growth but remain well above regulatory minimums. ChoiceOne Bank maintains "well-capitalized" status with a 12.5% total risk-based capital ratio .

Loan Portfolio Breakdown

SegmentQ4 2025 Balance% of Total
Commercial Real Estate$1.78B 59%
Residential Real Estate$728M 24%
Commercial & Industrial$353M 12%
Loans to Other FIs$59M 2%
Agricultural$56M 2%
Consumer$27M 1%

CRE concentration is notable at 279% of total capital (non-owner occupied) , though this is common for community banks in Michigan.

Forward Catalysts

  1. 2026 accretion tailwind: $8M of scheduled interest income from purchased loan accretion provides earnings visibility

  2. New Troy branch: Expansion into Southeast Michigan expected later in 2026

  3. Tax credit purchases: Management is evaluating additional transferable tax credits to offset 2026 tax expense, following a $340K benefit in Q4

  4. Operating leverage: With merger costs behind them, incremental revenue should flow more directly to the bottom line

Risks to Monitor

  • NIM pressure: Continued Fed rate cuts may not immediately translate to deposit cost savings given already-low funding costs
  • CRE concentration: 279% CRE-to-capital ratio warrants monitoring in a weakening commercial real estate environment
  • NPL normalization: While management attributes the uptick to legacy PCD loans, the 0.98% NPL ratio bears watching
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The Bottom Line

ChoiceOne delivered a clean beat in its first post-merger quarter without integration noise. The 94% YoY earnings growth reflects the scale benefits of the Fentura combination, while 7.6% annualized organic loan growth signals underlying franchise strength.

With merger expenses behind them and $8M in accretion income scheduled for 2026, the earnings profile looks more predictable. The key debate now shifts to NIM trajectory and whether organic growth can offset rate headwinds.

At $29.56 per share, COFS trades at roughly 1.0x tangible book value ($304M tangible equity / 15M shares = ~$20.29 TBV per share) — a reasonable multiple for a well-integrated community bank with mid-teens ROTCE.


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